11-17-2022, 06:09 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-17-2022, 06:17 PM by FlyingClayDisk.)
I'm not sure I understand why Zelensky is making such a big issue out of this. I don't see him slip-up very often, but I think he's making a mistake here.
First of all, the origin of the missile is going to be very easy to pin down in short order (frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if it was a US supplied arm). Because of how a munition like this is designed, there are lots of fragments leftover after impact/explosion which make them quite easy to identify.
Secondly, "collateral damage" is a common thing during wartime. Unfortunate, yes, but common all the same.
Thirdly, (given the above) making an allegation against Russia unintentionally/intentionally striking Poland is a BIG deal, and something which will be thoroughly investigated by numerous countries, not just Ukraine, Russia and Poland. Consequently, making an erroneous claim about such an incident will erode confidence in Zelensky in the public eye. This is something Zelensky should be VERY sensitive to, and something he should be avoiding at all costs! Furthermore, being wrong about such an allegation has really BAD optics!
Fourth, it would be completely acceptable, understandable even, for Zelensky to say the missile very well could have been an accidental incident on Ukraine's behalf (even if it wasn't). This way, he could say the matter is being investigated, and he would look like the 'good guy' in the process. This has a lot better optics than blanket denials until the truth is known. Especially, if Ukraine IS found to be at fault.
Fifth, and possibly most important, Zelensky should know he's got no friend in Bidet (president of the Socialist State of America). Bidet is going to look for any way to torpedo Ukraine, and prop up his buddy Vlad (who snickers at his stupidity behind his back), even if he has to go plant the evidence himself. In fact, he'd probably even risk American lives doing it!
Conclusion - Zelensky has got nothing but lose-lose options by denying the missile was Ukranian, and nothing but win-win options by saying it was Ukranian and accidental. Now, if 10,000 people had been killed this might be a different story, but we're not talking about 10,000 people here...only 2. More Polish citizens died in car crashes in just the time it took to write this post.
Conclusion #2 - Zelenshy isn't really saying fuck-all, but rather the MEDIA are the ones who are REALLY wanting to stir up some shit between Russia and NATO!
First of all, the origin of the missile is going to be very easy to pin down in short order (frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if it was a US supplied arm). Because of how a munition like this is designed, there are lots of fragments leftover after impact/explosion which make them quite easy to identify.
Secondly, "collateral damage" is a common thing during wartime. Unfortunate, yes, but common all the same.
Thirdly, (given the above) making an allegation against Russia unintentionally/intentionally striking Poland is a BIG deal, and something which will be thoroughly investigated by numerous countries, not just Ukraine, Russia and Poland. Consequently, making an erroneous claim about such an incident will erode confidence in Zelensky in the public eye. This is something Zelensky should be VERY sensitive to, and something he should be avoiding at all costs! Furthermore, being wrong about such an allegation has really BAD optics!
Fourth, it would be completely acceptable, understandable even, for Zelensky to say the missile very well could have been an accidental incident on Ukraine's behalf (even if it wasn't). This way, he could say the matter is being investigated, and he would look like the 'good guy' in the process. This has a lot better optics than blanket denials until the truth is known. Especially, if Ukraine IS found to be at fault.
Fifth, and possibly most important, Zelensky should know he's got no friend in Bidet (president of the Socialist State of America). Bidet is going to look for any way to torpedo Ukraine, and prop up his buddy Vlad (who snickers at his stupidity behind his back), even if he has to go plant the evidence himself. In fact, he'd probably even risk American lives doing it!
Conclusion - Zelensky has got nothing but lose-lose options by denying the missile was Ukranian, and nothing but win-win options by saying it was Ukranian and accidental. Now, if 10,000 people had been killed this might be a different story, but we're not talking about 10,000 people here...only 2. More Polish citizens died in car crashes in just the time it took to write this post.
Conclusion #2 - Zelenshy isn't really saying fuck-all, but rather the MEDIA are the ones who are REALLY wanting to stir up some shit between Russia and NATO!