Trump reelection has 91% chance ?

[LSU2018]

A political scientist who correctly predicted Donald Trump’s presidential win in 2016 eight months before it happened, has a new prediction for the president in the upcoming election. And Democrats are not going to like it.

Recent polls have Democratic presumptive presidential candidate Joe Biden ahead of the president.

However, Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is predicting President Trump has a “91 percent” chance of a win in November.

According to Mediaite on Wednesday, July 8, the professor correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996 with his Primary Model.

https://thebl.com/politics/political-sci...-2020.html

Looks like JoJo Biden has his work cut out for him.

Cheers

He probably got the 2012 election wrong. 

I firmly believed Hillary's 95% chance was way off because too many people out there supported Trump and he's gained tons more support since he did as promised. I also think the polls we see consist of too many democrats which is why Trump is always behind. You can usually add about 15 more points to Trump and remove 15+ from the other guy. 

I don't think Trump will win 1984 Reagan style, but I think he'll beat Biden worse than he beat Clinton. Unless they pass a vote-by-mail rule. Then we'll lose handily. We just too honest to cheat. I wonder how fast democrats will reneg after Trump wins. In 2016, Clinton was the only candidate who could beat Trump, then she lost and became the worst candidate they could have put against Trump because anyone else could have beat him.