Trump reelection has 91% chance ?

[F2d5thCav]

So one thing that struck me about this fellow's model is that, if his model is so accurate based solely on primaries results . . . is there any reason to actually hold elections?  Is all they do simply a confirmation of his model's prediction ?

It sounds like information that invites gaming elections.  If primaries really are the key, then parties are advised to pour the bulk of their effort into gaining that all-important top dog position at the primaries and then let the rest of the chips fall onto their plate on election day.

But our political party system wouldn't play such games, would they ?



Cheers