07-09-2020, 04:54 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-09-2020, 04:57 PM by F2d5thCav.
Edit Reason: 1912, not 1920s
)
The "91%" doesn't mean he will get that much of the vote. It is the analyst's estimate of how likely Trump is liable to obtain the needed quantity of votes in the electoral college to win.
The popular vote will probably be contested, but as this guy sees it, Trump is very likely to win in the electoral college. Apparently, the model he has developed has only falsely predicted election results twice for elections from 1912 forward. Pretty good for a political model, I'd say.
Cheers
The popular vote will probably be contested, but as this guy sees it, Trump is very likely to win in the electoral college. Apparently, the model he has developed has only falsely predicted election results twice for elections from 1912 forward. Pretty good for a political model, I'd say.
Cheers
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Location: The lost world, Elsewhen