09-15-2017, 04:16 AM
Continued
Quote:Toynbee’s theory of decay[edit]This last parts give a good overview of events and ideas across a spectrum
The British historian Arnold J. Toynbee, in his 12-volume magnum opus A Study of History (1961), theorized that all civilizations pass through several distinct stages: genesis, growth, time of troubles, universal state, and disintegration. (Carroll Quigley would expand on and refine this theory in his "The Evolution of Civilizations".[29])
Toynbee argues that the breakdown of civilizations is not caused by loss of control over the environment, over the human environment, or attacks from outside. Rather, societies that develop great expertise in problem solving become incapable of solving new problems by overdeveloping their structures for solving old ones.
The fixation on the old methods of the "Creative Minority" leads it to eventually cease to be creative and degenerates into merely a "dominant minority" (that forces the majority to obey without meriting obedience), failing to recognize new ways of thinking. He argues that creative minorities deteriorate due to a worship of their "former self," by which they become prideful, and fail to adequately address the next challenge they face.
He argues that the ultimate sign a civilization has broken down is when the dominant minority forms a Universal State, which stifles political creativity. He states:
Quote:First the Dominant Minority attempts to hold by force - against all right and reason - a position of inherited privilege which it has ceased to merit; and then the Proletariat repays injustice with resentment, fear with hate, and violence with violence when it executes its acts of secession. Yet the whole movement ends in positive acts of creation - and this on the part of all the actors in the tragedy of disintegration. The Dominant Minority creates a universal state, the Internal Proletariat a universal church, and the External Proletariat a bevy of barbarian war-bands.He argues that, as civilizations decay, they form an "Internal Proletariat" and an "External Proletariat." The Internal proletariat is held in subjugation by the dominant minority inside the civilization, and grows bitter; the external proletariat exists outside the civilization in poverty and chaos, and grows envious. He argues that as civilizations decay, there is a "schism in the body social," whereby abandon and self-control together replace creativity, and truancy and martyrdom together replace discipleship by the creative minority.
He argues that in this environment, people resort to archaism (idealization of the past), futurism (idealization of the future), detachment (removal of oneself from the realities of a decaying world), and transcendence (meeting the challenges of the decaying civilization with new insight, as a Prophet). He argues that those who Transcend during a period of social decay give birth to a new Church with new and stronger spiritual insights, around which a subsequent civilization may begin to form after the old has died.
Toynbee's use of the word 'church' refers to the collective spiritual bond of a common worship, or the same unity found in some kind of social order.
The great irony expressed by these and others like them is that civilizations that seem ideally designed to creatively solve problems, find themselves doing so self-destructively.[citation needed]
Systems science[edit]
Researchers, as yet, have very little ability to identify internal structures of large distributed systems like human societies, which is an important scientific problem. Genuine structural collapse seems, in many cases, the only plausible explanation supporting the idea that such structures exist. However, until they can be concretely identified, scientific inquiry appears limited to the construction of scientific narratives,[30] using systems thinking for careful storytelling about systemic organization and change.
History includes many examples of the appearance and disappearance of human societies with no obvious explanation. The abrupt dissolution of the Soviet Union in the course of a few months, without any external attack, according to Johan Galtung was due to growing structural contradictions brought on by geopolitical overreach, which could not be resolved within the existing socio-political systems.
Although a societal collapse is generally an endpoint for the administration of a culture's social and economic life, societal collapse can also be seen as simply a change of administration within the same culture. Russian culture would seem to have outlived both the society of Imperial Russia and the society of the Soviet Union, for example. Frequently the societal collapse phenomenon is also a process of decentralization of authority after a 'classic' period of centralized social order, perhaps replaced by competing centers as the central authority weakens. Societal failure may also result in a degree of empowerment for the lower levels of a former climax society, who escape from the burden of onerous taxes and control by exploitative elites. For example, the black plague contributed to breaking the hold of European feudal society on its underclass in the 15th century.
Examples of civilizations and societies that have collapsed[edit]
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By reversion or simplification[edit]By absorption[edit]
- Akkadian Empire
- Hittite Empire
- Mycenaean Greece
- The Neo-Assyrian Empire
- Indus Valley Civilization
- Angkor civilization of the Khmer Empire
- Han and Tang Dynasty of China
- Anasazi (disputed)
- Western Roman Empire
- Izapa
- Maya, Classic Maya collapse
- Munhumutapa Empire
- Olmec
By extinction or evacuation[edit]
- Sumer by the Akkadian Empire
- Ancient Egypt by the Libyans, Nubians, Assyria, Babylonia, Persian rule, Greece, Ptolemaic Dynasty, and the Roman Empire[31]
- Babylonia by the Hittites
- Etruscans by the Roman Republic
- Ancient Levant
- Classical Greece by the Roman Empire
- Dacians by the Roman Empire
- Eastern Roman Empire (Medieval Greek) of the Byzantines by the Arabs and Turks
- Modern North East Asian civilizations
- Qin, Song, Mongol and Qing China
- Tokugawa Shogunate of Japan, ending with the Meiji Restoration
- Aztecs by the Spanish conquest of the Aztec Empire
- Incas by the Spanish conquest of the Inca Empire
See also[edit] Malthusian and environmental collapse themes
- Cahokia
- Original Rapa Nui civilization on Easter Island (disputed)
- Lost cities
- Norse colony on Greenland
- Original Polynesian civilization on Pitcairn Island
- Malden Island
- Flinders Island
- Aboriginal Tasmanians
Cultural and institutional collapse themes:
- Behavioral sink – rat colony collapse
- Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed
- Earth 2100
- Ecological collapse
- Exploitation of natural resources
- Global catastrophic risk
- Malthusian catastrophe
- Medieval demography
- Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
- Overpopulation
- Overshoot (population)
- Peak oil
Systems science:
- Decline
- Dependency ratio
- Economic collapse
- Failed state
- Fragile state
- Group cohesiveness
- Language death
- Progress trap
- Resource depletion
- Social contract
- Social cycle theory
- Social disintegration
- Sociocultural evolution
- Solidarity
- Sub-replacement fertility
- Urban decay