The deafening thing in this discussion is what is not mentioned.
What does Ukraine want?
I suspect there are more than a few Ukrainians who have tired of being dominated by the Moscow kleptocracy. Ukraine probably has its own kleptocracy, but people usually prefer their own criminals to foreign criminals as overlords.
And if enough Ukrainians don't want the Moscow kleptocracy owning them, they'll fight.
At that point, the rest of Europe has to decide whether or not they want a replay of the run-up to World War II. Because Putin, despite being an apparently intelligent person, only seems to have one playbook -- Red Star Panzer Divisions Coming Your Way. Lazy and unnecessary because he has powerful economic options that would net him most of what he wants. But I suspect this has become personal for him, and besides, he is obsessed with winding the clock back to the 1980s.
The USA might or might not get involved. But if it comes to war, we won't have a choice if NATO allied nations are getting blown away by Crazy Ivan games.
As to the war. As long as it doesn't 'go nuclear', much of it will boil down to who has the best intel, the best drones, and the best electronic warfare assets. Missiles and aircraft don't work well when their electronics get spoofed.
And if I was the Ukrainians, I would lay a veritable ocean of land mines along the frontiers with Russia and Belarus. Slow them down and give the rest of the world a chance to decide if they want to get involved.
Cheers
What does Ukraine want?
I suspect there are more than a few Ukrainians who have tired of being dominated by the Moscow kleptocracy. Ukraine probably has its own kleptocracy, but people usually prefer their own criminals to foreign criminals as overlords.
And if enough Ukrainians don't want the Moscow kleptocracy owning them, they'll fight.
At that point, the rest of Europe has to decide whether or not they want a replay of the run-up to World War II. Because Putin, despite being an apparently intelligent person, only seems to have one playbook -- Red Star Panzer Divisions Coming Your Way. Lazy and unnecessary because he has powerful economic options that would net him most of what he wants. But I suspect this has become personal for him, and besides, he is obsessed with winding the clock back to the 1980s.
The USA might or might not get involved. But if it comes to war, we won't have a choice if NATO allied nations are getting blown away by Crazy Ivan games.
As to the war. As long as it doesn't 'go nuclear', much of it will boil down to who has the best intel, the best drones, and the best electronic warfare assets. Missiles and aircraft don't work well when their electronics get spoofed.
And if I was the Ukrainians, I would lay a veritable ocean of land mines along the frontiers with Russia and Belarus. Slow them down and give the rest of the world a chance to decide if they want to get involved.
Cheers
![[Image: 14sigsepia.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/9yxWwxj/14sigsepia.jpg)
Location: The lost world, Elsewhen