The 'wargames' have always been problematic.
Their output all boils down to their programming. Years ago, a well known military analyst, Trevor Dupuy, pointed out that the big-$ simulations produced by the huge DoD contractors all predicted huge losses. When the Gulf War loomed, it was their take against his (he had his own battle outcome prediction scheme), and his predictions on the casualties the Coalition would suffer proved FAR more accurate than the big-$ "wargames".
The USA might take heavy losses against the PLA or it could go the other way as well. A lot will hinge upon the effectiveness of electronic warfare and electronic counter-measures.
ETA. Don't forget the "boring" stuff like naval mines. Those are easy to produce and deploy, and are a HUGE pain in the *** for navies to clear, especially when their facing air, missile, and submarine attacks at the same time.
Cheers
Their output all boils down to their programming. Years ago, a well known military analyst, Trevor Dupuy, pointed out that the big-$ simulations produced by the huge DoD contractors all predicted huge losses. When the Gulf War loomed, it was their take against his (he had his own battle outcome prediction scheme), and his predictions on the casualties the Coalition would suffer proved FAR more accurate than the big-$ "wargames".
The USA might take heavy losses against the PLA or it could go the other way as well. A lot will hinge upon the effectiveness of electronic warfare and electronic counter-measures.
ETA. Don't forget the "boring" stuff like naval mines. Those are easy to produce and deploy, and are a HUGE pain in the *** for navies to clear, especially when their facing air, missile, and submarine attacks at the same time.
Cheers
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Location: The lost world, Elsewhen