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Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - Printable Version

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Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - Ninurta - 05-15-2017

I regularly read publicly available ISIS rags in order to keep abreast of what they are up to, and what the world looks like from their perspective. One of the most informative, and widely available (despite US government efforts to keep it from reaching general circulation and sounding the alarm) is an e-magazine called "Rumiya" ( formerly known as "Dabiq").

That slick magazine has a regular feature instructing wannabe caliphateers in how to conduct attacks in "enemy" (that's us) territory. A couple months ago, it was a single page advertising the upcoming ISIS Sarin attack on a civilian population (which, paradoxically, got blamed on the Syrian government). Other subjects have included how to proceed with a knife attack, and how to operate a vehicular attack, all of which have come to pass.

In the most recent issue as of this writing (Issue 9), the how-to section has been considerably expanded from a single page to seven full pages (from page 46 to page 51) And is titled "Just Terror Tactics - Hostage Taking". That is what we need to be watching for an outbreak of next. However, to ISIS "Hostage Operations" are not what we would traditionally consider as hostage operations in the civilized world. The article makes plain that maximum hostages should be taken, but that the vast majority of them should be killed out of hand and as soon as possible after being taken, with just a token few to be kept on hand to influence hostage negotiations. In other words, to ISIS "hostage taking" is meant to promote maximum mayhem, death, and destruction rather than as bargaining chips for negotiations. Negotiations are not the priority, killing kafrs is.

The article goes on the advise operatives to take the victims in enclosed places for maximum control of the victims and easier killing of them while preventing escape. Depending on how many terrorists are involved, the number of exits are one of the controlling factors of site selection. Fewer exits are fewer escape routes for victims to exit the mayhem, and fewer egress points for the jihadis to have to cover, giving them more opportunity to kill kafrs without having to worry about the ones that get away, or preventing that. It also works out to fewer ingress points for an assault team to come through, thus bottle-necking their opposition into a manageable attack - more manageable to the jihadis (i.e. "defenders" in traditional parlance), anyhow.

It also advises to select crowded venues away from such things as celebrations, where law enforcement will have a large presence, and to time the attacks to coincide with such celebrations so that law enforcement is tied up elsewhere, and will necessarily have a lag in response time getting to the attack site. So, in contradiction to current established thought in the civilized world, it looks like such celebratory gatherings will actually be safer than, for instance, a shopping mall across town from them. This means that during holidays, it will likely be safer to attend the celebration gatherings than it will be to attend non-celebration gatherings some distance from them. If those non-celebratory gatherings are in enclosed spaces, the danger factor is going to be elevated, since that is a selection criteria for target sites.

The article advises to kill as many kafrs as possible before the law enforcement elements can regroup, arrive, and engage, and to use just a minimum number of survivors to buy time in the negotiations. The end objective is not to release any of the hostages, nor for the ISIS operatives to survive the encounter. In the end, they intend for nothing but dead bodies to remain on-target, including their own. This means that negotiations are useless, and should be used by civilized forces ONLY as a means of buying a little (very little) time to position elements for an assault. That's the ONLY way any of those "hostages" are going to escape alive. Forget talking the enemy down - that's not going to happen, and any agency who thinks it is will be riding for a fall, with lots of dead hostages who may have been saved otherwise. To ISIS, "negotiations" are merely to lure law enforcement in so that they may be engaged. ISIS intends for none of the hostages nor the operatives to make it out alive.

Civilized world "rapid response teams" are going to have to practice for more rapid deployment than is the current norm, and they are going to have to include a negotiator element ONLY as a means of buying time for staging assault elements to unexpected postitions, not as a serious bargaining tool.

The article also gives advice on inflicting mass casualties on victims serially, rather than concurrently. it advises to do so by renting kill zones and then advertising them for rent to others, so that the jihadi can kill them one at a time as they show up to look over the "rental" premises. That section advises having an enclosed space to lure the victims into and prevent their escape prior to killing them, and to have an area on the premises to hide the bodies, to avoid alerting subsequent victims. The same section mentions the utility of "Craig's List" ads in luring victims into the kill zone.

Be forewarned, and avoid traps such as these in the near future.

Other running threads in this current issue are counseling patience in the face of adversity, which indicates that ISIS is having it's ass handed to it in it's core territories, and they are trying to bolster the confidence of the losing ISIS fighters to keep them from deserting. ISIS has had a problem with desertion in the past few months since the tide has turned against them.

Also, there is a running theme against Christians and Jews which is more prevalent than it has been. The Coptic Christians are characterized as "belligerent Christians" for having the temerity to defend themselves against ISIS assaults... imagine that - the DEFENDERS are being characterized as "belligerents" ! This is to justify the unprovoked ISIS assaults against the Copts in Egypt for the benefit of ISIS supporters. Yet another running theme is "justification" against Shi'ite Muslims for genocide against them by ISIS elements.

There is also a promotion of ISIS operations in "East Asia" (i.e. the southern Philippines), and together with rumors that a scared al-Baghdadi is looking at the Philippines closely, may indicate a potential move of ISIS core territory from the middle east, where it is having it's ass handed to it and is rapidly losing territory, to establish itself in the area around Mindanao, where Islamic Jihadi Guerrillas have long been operation and are fairly well established.

Forewarned is fore-armed. Use this analysis as you wish, or don't. Your destiny is ultimately up to only your self.


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RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - Mystic Wanderer - 05-15-2017

Thank you for the heads up, @"Ninurta".   minusculethumbsup2

I hope when people read this, they will take your words seriously (because you know what you're talking about regarding this subject), and spread the word.

I'm off to spread it now.  (If any MOD here knows how to share to Google, please do.)

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - guohua - 05-15-2017

Excellent Work.
Very well put together with the information made readily available. 

I can almost bet you, no-one in our current Alphabetic agency's  are  are currently read that online magazine.

We don't believe it is Eyes and Ears Open Investigative Field Work Anymore,,, It's Crisis Management!
Just Our Humble Opinion.

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - BIAD - 05-15-2017

Thanks Ninurta, another interesting piece and I hope you continue with more.
Fascinating.
minusculethumbsup minusculethumbsup

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - Ninurta - 05-18-2017

(05-15-2017, 07:28 PM)guohua Wrote: Excellent Work.
Very well put together with the information made readily available. 

I can almost bet you, no-one in our current Alphabetic agency's  are  are currently read that online magazine.

We don't believe it is Eyes and Ears Open Investigative Field Work Anymore,,, It's Crisis Management!
Just Our Humble Opinion.

Uncle Charlie used to have a whole section of analysts who did nothing but scour open-source publications such as magazines and newspapers for intel, and who then correlated and combined that intel into actionable intel. They don't do that any more?

Kinda makes ya wonder who in the hell is running this show, y'know?

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - guohua - 05-18-2017

(05-18-2017, 07:20 AM)Ninurta Wrote:
(05-15-2017, 07:28 PM)guohua Wrote: Excellent Work.
Very well put together with the information made readily available. 

I can almost bet you, no-one in our current Alphabetic agency's  are  are currently read that online magazine.

We don't believe it is Eyes and Ears Open Investigative Field Work Anymore,,, It's Crisis Management!
Just Our Humble Opinion.

Uncle Charlie used to have a whole section of analysts who did nothing but scour open-source publications such as magazines and newspapers for intel, and who then correlated and combined that intel into actionable intel. They don't do that any more?

Kinda makes ya wonder who in the hell is running this show, y'know?
Mr. G. just asked if you remembered back in the 60's and 70's when we has Real Investigative Reporters?
Those reporters from the 60's carried over to the 70's and late 70's before the 80's.
The 80's seen the end of good or real investigative reporters.
Put to make a longer story shorter.
He says they used to use them as information sources and they very often were correct.
Yes, News papers and magazines at one time was a great source to watch and plan a move against the Bad Guys.

At that time, their photographers would travel world wide and write and take pictures, often in places we couldn't get into to.
Sorry we derail the thread.

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - Ninurta - 05-24-2017

(05-18-2017, 01:57 PM)guohua Wrote:
(05-18-2017, 07:20 AM)Ninurta Wrote:
(05-15-2017, 07:28 PM)guohua Wrote: Excellent Work.
Very well put together with the information made readily available. 

I can almost bet you, no-one in our current Alphabetic agency's  are  are currently read that online magazine.

We don't believe it is Eyes and Ears Open Investigative Field Work Anymore,,, It's Crisis Management!
Just Our Humble Opinion.

Uncle Charlie used to have a whole section of analysts who did nothing but scour open-source publications such as magazines and newspapers for intel, and who then correlated and combined that intel into actionable intel. They don't do that any more?

Kinda makes ya wonder who in the hell is running this show, y'know?
Mr. G. just asked if you remembered back in the 60's and 70's when we has Real Investigative Reporters?
Those reporters from the 60's carried over to the 70's and late 70's before the 80's.
The 80's seen the end of good or real investigative reporters.
Put to make a longer story shorter.
He says they used to use them as information sources and they very often were correct.
Yes, News papers and magazines at one time was a great source to watch and plan a move against the Bad Guys.

At that time, their photographers would travel world wide and write and take pictures, often in places we couldn't get into to.
Sorry we derail the thread.

That's not a derail, that's an explanation, and a good one. I can see why they don't use sources like that any more, what with all of the opinion and "entertainment" that has been injected into what was once "news". Yup, I recall those days, and I recall that as a result of such activities, the occasional journalist was detained, sometimes tried and imprisoned for "espionage" when he was just doing his job. I also recall a couple of reporters who were outright executed in Nicaragua in the late 70's, when the politicization of the news was starting. Those stalwart souls picked the wrong side to defend and promote, rather than just straight reporting, and got X-ed out for it.

Being a commie or a sympathizer was a hard, and sometimes short, life back then, unlike now.


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RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - 727Sky - 05-24-2017

https://newsletter.thaivisa.com/l/jzQgFpyeyIlIp5yOz3u5GA/eZ1QuVm892Q763yLTZkX58I3AQ/NnfbxNqn0v1nlqleq1U8fQ

Quote:Many children among casualties; ‘mass killing’ cited as motive

PATTANI: -- ABOUT 50 people were injured by a huge car bomb outside a department store in Pattani in the deep South yesterday afternoon that also caused widespread damage.

The bombers used a common tactic in the insurgency – triggering a small initial explosive inside the Big C department store, which sent shoppers running outside in panic, before the second bomb concealed in a pickup parked at an entrance door was detonated. The first bomb also seemed intended to distract authorities ahead of the second much bigger blast.

Big C is like Walmart in the states.... Islam is the foundation for so many wrongs in this world.
I sometimes wish we had another great Genghis Khan who knew how to handle these idiots... As it stands now they will out breed everyone and take over for their sky fairy sooner or later in many places no one would have ever thought possible... Sorry just the way I think things are going..
You have to wonder how big and how bad the blow back is gonna be in some countries that finally have had enough of the religion of pieces ? If it were not for child brides why would any woman marry a Muslim ? Never mind...when you can not go outside, work, drive or anything else without a man present your options are severely restricted unless you want to starve; no?
A little political but a disappointment to me .... America is once again big buds with Saudi which is like petting a Cobra IMO   the Wahhabi branch of Islam is the worst of the worst which is pretty darn bad considering they all suck ...   so I guess I would say nothing good comes from any of their rotten BS

RE: Heads-up regarding upcoming ISIS operations - guohua - 05-27-2017

@"Ninurta"  Your statement *Being a commie or a sympathizer was a hard, and sometimes short, life back then, unlike now.*

Being a Commie Sympathizer in the early 70's was OK, if you and your Father were Movie Stars.
Let's us not forget Hanoi Jane Fonda.
[Image: hanoijane.jpg] [Image: hanoijane2.jpg][Image: hanoi-jane-derp.jpg]
She should have been imprisoned upon her return.