10-07-2020, 03:03 AM
(This post was last modified: 10-07-2020, 04:04 AM by Michigan Swamp Buck.
Edit Reason: For Clarity
)
After reviewing the timeline and my last few posts, I'm forming a "most likely" theory of how this all may have gone down. This is strictly conjecture based on the timeline and some other loose information.
Given that there was an international treaty banning biological weapons research that China signed in 1985, it is obvious that bio-weapons technology was a growing concern among developed nations at that time.
The joint bat research done in 1988 was primarily concerned with bat numbers and health, including bat diseases like rabies that also posed a threat to humans. So it is certain that Chinese bat diseases were being studied since as early as the late 80s and had been studied for as much as 24 years (if not more) before the 2002 SARS outbreak.
The human corona virus, the cause of the common cold, was first discovered in mid 1960s. So for over 30 years scientists had known of and had studied the human corona virus before this huge reservoir of similar but novel corona viruses were found in Chinese bats around the beginning of the 2000s. Apparently because the common cold had mild symptoms and the majority of people could treat it at home, there wasn't a whole lot of research done on corona viruses until the 2002 outbreak. I would venture to say that they knew enough about the human corona virus to know that this similar bat corona virus was the perfect framework for engineering a deadly human pathogen.
If the initial outbreak wasn't a natural occurence, then the 2002 Chinese SARS outbreak may have been due to early gain of function studies in labs at less than biosafety level 4. After one of these altered varieties of bat corona viruses caused the outbreak, they built a lab in 2003 capable of handling the developing line of novel chimeric corona viruses.
After they discovered the natural bat corona viruses around 2002, they had at least 17 years to add bits and pieces of other human viruses to the bat virus in these gain of function studies. From other studies and evidence not placed in the timeline, it appears that the GOF studies were to create a corona virus that would not only attack the human respiratory system, but have the added functions of airborne transmission, ability to attack the human immune system and to remain dormant while spreading.
Given the track record of high level bio-lab accidents since 2000, it is reasonable to believe that one or more of these chimeric novel corona viruses escaped sometime in the fall of 2019 to create the current pandemic.
Given that there was an international treaty banning biological weapons research that China signed in 1985, it is obvious that bio-weapons technology was a growing concern among developed nations at that time.
The joint bat research done in 1988 was primarily concerned with bat numbers and health, including bat diseases like rabies that also posed a threat to humans. So it is certain that Chinese bat diseases were being studied since as early as the late 80s and had been studied for as much as 24 years (if not more) before the 2002 SARS outbreak.
The human corona virus, the cause of the common cold, was first discovered in mid 1960s. So for over 30 years scientists had known of and had studied the human corona virus before this huge reservoir of similar but novel corona viruses were found in Chinese bats around the beginning of the 2000s. Apparently because the common cold had mild symptoms and the majority of people could treat it at home, there wasn't a whole lot of research done on corona viruses until the 2002 outbreak. I would venture to say that they knew enough about the human corona virus to know that this similar bat corona virus was the perfect framework for engineering a deadly human pathogen.
If the initial outbreak wasn't a natural occurence, then the 2002 Chinese SARS outbreak may have been due to early gain of function studies in labs at less than biosafety level 4. After one of these altered varieties of bat corona viruses caused the outbreak, they built a lab in 2003 capable of handling the developing line of novel chimeric corona viruses.
After they discovered the natural bat corona viruses around 2002, they had at least 17 years to add bits and pieces of other human viruses to the bat virus in these gain of function studies. From other studies and evidence not placed in the timeline, it appears that the GOF studies were to create a corona virus that would not only attack the human respiratory system, but have the added functions of airborne transmission, ability to attack the human immune system and to remain dormant while spreading.
Given the track record of high level bio-lab accidents since 2000, it is reasonable to believe that one or more of these chimeric novel corona viruses escaped sometime in the fall of 2019 to create the current pandemic.